Toluca vs. Queretaro Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Queretaro Liga MX match on August 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
vs.
Estadio La Corregidora
Queretaro
Estadio La Corregidora
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • Toluca
    53.5%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Draw
    22.5%
    FanaticsFanatics
  • Queretaro
    24.0%
    FanaticsFanatics

Toluca vs. Queretaro: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Queretaro
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca -108, Queretaro +310, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toluca: 53.5%
  • Queretaro: 24.0%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toluca 1-1 Queretaro (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toluca vs. Queretaro? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.5%.

The most likely correct score is Toluca 1-1 Queretaro.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Toluca vs. Queretaro, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.