Monterrey vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on August 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Monterrey
0
2
Club Leon
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
J. Cortizo (24')
Soccer ball icon
J. Romana (66')
Red Card icon
D. Arcila (pen.) (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Monterrey
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Guevara (Club Leon) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces J. Corona
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces O. Pineda
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces G. Arteaga
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Lara replaces I. Rodriguez
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: I. Moreno replaces B. Colula
  7. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Arcila (pen.)
    0-2
  8. 77'
    Yellow Card
    L. Cardenas (Monterrey) cautioned
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: P. Bellon replaces J. Cortizo
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces F. Ambriz
  11. 66'
    Red Card
    J. Romana (Club Leon) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Alvarado replaces D. Cambindo
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces F. Beltran Cruz
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Orellano replaces R. Chavez
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Chavez (Monterrey) cautioned
  16. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by J. Cortizo, assisted by D. Cambindo
    0-1

Monterrey vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +125, Club Leon +225, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Monterrey: 38.4%
  • Club Leon: 37.3%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Club Leon (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Monterrey vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.4%.

The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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