San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Toluca Liga MX match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
STARTS IN 5d
LIGA MX
STARTS IN 5d
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
San Luis
vs.
Toluca
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • San Luis
    12.1%
    FanDuelFanDuel
  • Draw
    15.7%
    FanDuelFanDuel
  • Toluca
    72.2%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

San Luis vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Toluca
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +700, Toluca -310, draw +470
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-260/+200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 12.1%
  • Toluca: 72.2%
  • Draw: 15.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-2 Toluca (9.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win San Luis vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 72.2%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-2 Toluca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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