Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on April 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
:
2
Apr 5, 10:07 PM ET
Guadalajara
Apr 5, 10:07 PM ET
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
A. Gonzalez (70')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
U. Antuna (22')
Soccer ball icon
J. Castillo (o.g.) (41')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Campillo Del Campo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
(UNAM Pumas) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Morales
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces E. Alvarez
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gonzalez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces P. Vite
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces U. Antuna
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Campillo Del Campo
2-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces R. Ledezma
63'
Yellow Card
K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
54'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces J. Carrillo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces Juninho
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces J. Castillo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces D. Aguirre
42'
Yellow Card
L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
P. Vite (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Castillo (o.g.)
2-0
25'
Yellow Card
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by U. Antuna, assisted by Juninho
1-0
7'
Yellow Card
R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:07 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +525, Guadalajara -190, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 20.7%
  • Guadalajara: 55.4%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 0-1 Guadalajara (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.4%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.