Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on April 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
:
2
Guadalajara
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
A. Gonzalez (70')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (90')
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U. Antuna (22')
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J. Castillo (o.g.) (41')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Campillo Del Campo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
    2-2
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces R. Morales
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces E. Alvarez
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gonzalez
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces P. Vite
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces U. Antuna
  11. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by D. Campillo Del Campo
    2-1
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces R. Ledezma
  13. 63'
    Yellow Card
    K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces J. Carrillo
  15. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces Juninho
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces J. Castillo
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces D. Aguirre
  18. 42'
    Yellow Card
    L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  19. 42'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  20. 41'
    Yellow Card
    P. Vite (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  21. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Castillo (o.g.)
    2-0
  22. 25'
    Yellow Card
    R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  23. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by U. Antuna, assisted by Juninho
    1-0
  24. 7'
    Yellow Card
    R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
  • Time: 10:07 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +525, Guadalajara -190, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 20.7%
  • Guadalajara: 55.4%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 0-1 Guadalajara (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.4%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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