Tigres UANL vs. San Luis prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/25/2026]
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Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX match on September 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
2
6
Sep 24, 10:00 PM ET
Sep 24, 10:00 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Angulo (23')
Paulinho (25')
N. Castro (34')
Paulinho (40')
Paulinho (52')
N. Castro (62')
G. Berterame (10')
O. Torres (39')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Toluca
- Monterrey
Win Probability
Match Timeline
S. Ramos (Monterrey) cautioned
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces F. Romero
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces G. Berterame
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces Paulinho
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces M. Ruiz
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Ocampos replaces S. Canales
Substitution for Toluca: D. Barbosa replaces S. Simon
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces J. Angulo
Goal scored for Toluca by N. Castro, assisted by J. Angulo
2-6
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by A. Vega
2-5
Substitution for Monterrey: R. Chavez replaces E. Aguirre
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Martial replaces S. Medina
Substitution for Monterrey: V. Guzman replaces J. Corona
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by M. Ruiz
2-4
Goal scored for Monterrey by O. Torres, assisted by E. Aguirre
2-3
Goal scored for Toluca by N. Castro, assisted by F. Romero
1-3
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by A. Vega
1-2
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by S. Simon
1-1
Penalty missed by S. Ramos for Monterrey
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame
1-0
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Monterrey vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Monterrey vs. Toluca
- Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Monterrey +420, Toluca -175, draw +340
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Monterrey: 22.2%
- Toluca: 56.9%
- Draw: 20.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-2 Toluca (9.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.9%.
The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-2 Toluca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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