Club Leon vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Leon vs. Juarez Liga MX match on September 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Club Leon
0
2
Sep 26, 9:00 PM ET
Juarez
Sep 26, 9:00 PM ET
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
O. Estupinan (pen.) (43')
Soccer ball icon
Puma (62')
Soccer ball icon
S. Barreiro (83')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Leon
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: A. Estrada replaces I. Diaz
83'
Red Card
S. Barreiro (Club Leon) sent off for a second yellow card
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: L. Silva replaces Guilherme Castilho
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Villalpando replaces R. Pizarro
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: A. Alvarado replaces E. Rodriguez
69'
Yellow Card
Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
S. Barreiro (Club Leon) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: R. Fulgencio replaces Madson
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces O. Estupinan
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by Puma
0-2
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces S. Santos
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Murillo replaces M. Mosquera
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan (pen.)
0-1
20'
Yellow Card
M. Mosquera (Juarez) cautioned

Club Leon vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Juarez
  • Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +240, Juarez +115, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Leon: 32.8%
  • Juarez: 41.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Leon 1-1 Juarez (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Club Leon vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Juarez is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.7%.

The most likely correct score is Club Leon 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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