San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/23/2026]

Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET as Pachuca locks horns with Atletico San Luis at Estadio Libertad Financiera.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner in this Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 34.0% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 41.9% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.9% chance of going over, with a 60.4% probability that both teams score.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pachuca +125, Atletico San Luis +230

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: San Luis @ +230 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -125 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is San Luis to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• San Luis 1-1 Pachuca (11.1% probability)
• San Luis 1-2 Pachuca (8.9%)
• San Luis 0-1 Pachuca (7.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.4% chance of both sides finding the net and a 39.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

San Luis vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca at Estadio Libertad Financiera is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 34.0% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 41.9% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.