San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/23/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get San Luis vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Sunday.

San Luis-Pachuca Predictions and Game Preview.
San Luis vs. Pachuca Liga MX prediction for Sunday, August 23, 2026.

Atletico San Luis will square off with Pachuca in Liga MX action at Estadio Libertad Financiera on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner in this Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 34.1% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 41.8% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58.0% chance of going over, with a 60.5% chance that both teams score.

 

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +130, Atletico San Luis +230

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: San Luis @ +230 via Bet365
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -118 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • San Luis 1-1 Pachuca (11.1% probability)
  • San Luis 1-2 Pachuca (8.9%)
  • San Luis 2-1 Pachuca (7.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.5% chance of both Atletico San Luis and Pachuca finding the net and a 39.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

San Luis vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Atletico San Luis and Pachuca at Estadio Libertad Financiera is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Libertad Financiera

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 34.1% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 41.8% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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