Puebla vs. Santos Laguna prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/22/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Puebla vs Santos Laguna predictions for Liga MX Saturday.

Puebla-Santos Laguna Predictions and Game Preview.
Puebla vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction for Saturday, August 22, 2026.

Puebla and Santos Laguna are scheduled to meet in Liga MX on Saturday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Puebla as the most likely winner in this Puebla vs. Santos Laguna prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Puebla vs. Santos Laguna prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Santos Laguna, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 49.7% chance of Puebla winning, a 26.4% chance for Santos Laguna, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.1% chance of going over, with a 56.7% chance that both teams score.

 

Puebla vs. Santos Laguna odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Santos Laguna +230, Puebla +115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Puebla vs. Santos Laguna picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Puebla @ +115 via DraftKings
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Puebla vs. Santos Laguna: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Puebla 1-1 Santos Laguna (11.2% probability)
  • Puebla 2-1 Santos Laguna (9.6%)
  • Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna (9.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Puebla vs. Santos Laguna game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Puebla and Santos Laguna is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Puebla vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Puebla has a 49.7% win probability on Saturday, Santos Laguna has a 26.4% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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