Monterrey vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 58.3% chance of Monterrey winning, a 20.6% chance for Pachuca, and a 21.2% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61.2% chance of going over., with a 58.8% probability that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pachuca +340, Monterrey -150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+128)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Monterrey @ -150 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -164 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Monterrey win being the most probable:

• Monterrey 2-1 Pachuca (9.9% probability)
• Monterrey 1-1 Pachuca (9.7%)
• Monterrey 2-0 Pachuca (8.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Pachuca at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Monterrey vs. Pachuca
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 58.3% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 20.6% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.