Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/31/2026]
Get Juarez vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Juarez will square off with Pumas UNAM in Liga MX action on Friday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner in this Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model indicates a 35.8% chance of Juarez winning, a 37.9% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 26.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.7% chance of staying under, with a 53.0% chance that both teams score.
Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Juarez | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +160 | +180 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -115 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM @ +180 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| JUA 1-1 PUM | 12.5% |
| JUA 0-1 PUM | 9.8% |
| JUA 1-0 PUM | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Juarez and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Juarez vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Juarez has a 35.8% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 37.9% win probability, and there is a 26.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
