Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/22/2026]

Guadalajara and Club Tijuana will meet in Liga MX at Estadio Akron on Saturday, starting at 7:07 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner in this Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Club Tijuana, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 61.8% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 17.1% chance for Club Tijuana, and a 21.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.3% chance of going over, with a 52.7% probability that both teams find the net.

Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Club Tijuana +600, Guadalajara -210

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Club Tijuana @ +600 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +120 via Bet365

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Tijuana to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:

• Guadalajara 1-0 Club Tijuana (10.6% probability)
• Guadalajara 2-0 Club Tijuana (10.5%)
• Guadalajara 1-1 Club Tijuana (10%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.7% chance of both Guadalajara and Club Tijuana finding the net and a 47.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Guadalajara and Club Tijuana at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 7:07 PM ET.

• Who: Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Akron

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 61.8% win probability on Saturday, Club Tijuana has a 17.1% win probability, and there is a 21.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.