Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/16/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 25.9% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 50.4% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56.0% chance of going over, with a 57.2% probability that both teams score.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul +120, Club Tijuana +230

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul @ +120 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -118 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Club Tijuana 1-1 Cruz Azul (11.1% probability)
• Club Tijuana 1-2 Cruz Azul (9.6%)
• Club Tijuana 0-1 Cruz Azul (9.3%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.2% chance of both Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul finding the net and a 42.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Caliente

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 25.9% win probability on Sunday, Cruz Azul has a 50.4% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.