Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/24/2026]

Liga MX action continues on Friday at 11:00 PM ET as Club Leon takes on Club Tijuana at Estadio Caliente.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Club Tijuana as the most likely winner of the Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Club Tijuana and Club Leon, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 42.0% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 33.9% chance for Club Leon, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.4% chance of going over, with a 60.7% probability that both teams score.

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Club Tijuana	Club Leon	Draw
+100	+333	+265

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-125	+110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Club Leon @ +333 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -125 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Leon to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TIJ 1-1 LEO	11%
TIJ 2-1 LEO	8.9%
TIJ 1-2 LEO	7.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.7% chance of both Club Tijuana and Club Leon finding the net and a 39.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between Club Tijuana and Club Leon at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to start at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon
• Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Caliente

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 42.0% win probability on Friday, Club Leon has a 33.9% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.