Atlante vs. Monterrey prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/25/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlante and Monterrey, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 23.3% chance of Atlante winning, a 55.3% chance for Monterrey, and a 21.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.8% chance of going over., with a 62.1% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Monterrey -105, Atlante +250
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-158/+124)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Monterrey @ -105 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -158 via FanDuel

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Monterrey win being the most probable:

• Atlante 1-2 Monterrey (9.7% probability)
• Atlante 1-1 Monterrey (9.5%)
• Atlante 0-2 Monterrey (7.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 37.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlante and Monterrey at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlante vs. Monterrey
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlante has a 23.3% win probability on Friday, Monterrey has a 55.3% win probability, and there is a 21.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.