Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca La Liga match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
1
2
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
I. Williams (pen.) (9')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rego (82')
Soccer ball icon
Samu Costa (77')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sanchez (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mallorca
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Areso (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sanchez (Mallorca) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Sanchez (Mallorca) sent off for a second yellow card
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Vivian (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Roman (Mallorca) cautioned
  6. 89'
    Yellow Card
    A. Raillo (Mallorca) cautioned
  7. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: M. Morey Bauza replaces J. Mojica
  8. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: T. Lato replaces P. Maffeo
  9. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces M. Morlanes
  10. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces R. Navarro
  11. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Lekue replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  12. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Rego, assisted by J. Areso
    1-2
  13. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by Samu Costa, assisted by M. Joseph
    1-1
  14. 75'
    Yellow Card
    V. Muriqi (Mallorca) cautioned
  15. 68'
    Yellow Card
    J. Arrasate (Mallorca) cautioned
  16. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: M. Joseph replaces P. Torre
  17. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces M. Domenech
  18. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces N. Serrano
  19. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
  20. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces I. Williams
  21. 48'
    Yellow Card
    A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  22. 45'
    Yellow Card
    S. Darder (Mallorca) cautioned
  23. 36'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  24. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams (pen.)
    0-1

Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao -160, Mallorca +550, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+128/-158)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 57.3%
  • Mallorca: 17.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca (15.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Mallorca? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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