Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on September 28, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
1
2
Barcelona
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
J. Kounde (43')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lewandowski (59')
Soccer ball icon
A. Odriozola (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Barcelona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: M. Casado replaces Pedri
  3. 82'
    Yellow Card
    J. Kounde (Barcelona) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: U. Sadiq replaces A. Barrenetxea
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: E. Garcia replaces G. Martin
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces M. Rashford
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces P. Marin
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: C. Soler replaces B. Turrientes
  9. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by R. Lewandowski, assisted by Lamine Yamal
    1-2
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: Lamine Yamal replaces R. Bardghji
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Odriozola
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces G. Guedes
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Barcelona: D. Olmo replaces P. Fernandez
  14. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Barcelona by J. Kounde, assisted by M. Rashford
    1-1
  15. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Odriozola, assisted by A. Barrenetxea
    1-0
  16. 17'
    Yellow Card
    I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned

Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -270, Real Sociedad +700, draw +450

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Barcelona: 69.1%
  • Real Sociedad: 13.3%
  • Draw: 17.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.1%.

The most likely correct score is Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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