Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
:
1
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)
Mallorca
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)
MallorcaMCA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
V. Muriqi (85')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (73')
Red Card icon
C. Gallagher (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mallorca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by J. Virgili
    1-1
  2. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: J. Virgili replaces M. Morey Bauza
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Prats replaces M. Morlanes
  4. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by C. Gallagher
    1-0
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Ruggeri replaces N. Gonzalez
  6. 73'
    Red Card
    A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: M. Domenech replaces T. Asano
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces P. Barrios
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: A. Sanchez replaces Samu Costa
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces J. Alvarez
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces G. Simeone
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces G. Raspadori
  13. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mallorca: P. Torre replaces M. Kumbulla
  14. 14'
    Penalty missed by J. Alvarez for Atl. Madrid

Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mallorca +430, Atletico Madrid -130, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+122/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mallorca: 21.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 52.7%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid (13.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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