Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
2
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
S. Camello (28')
Soccer ball icon
Alemao (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Villarreal) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Mumin replaces U. Lopez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces P. Chavarria
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: L. Costa replaces W. Kambwala
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: C. Martin replaces Alemao
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces S. Camello
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: D. Parejo replaces P. Gueye
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Trejo
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces S. Comesana
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces T. Oluwaseyi
61'
Yellow Card
F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by O. Trejo
0-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Gonzalez replaces T. Buchanan
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by A. Ratiu
0-1

Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -105, Villareal +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 43.7%
  • Villareal: 31.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villareal (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.7%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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