Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
:
1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
I. Williams (52')
Soccer ball icon
W. Swedberg (4')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Vecino replaces F. Lopez
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces A. Berenguer
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces M. Jauregizar
  7. 68'
    Yellow Card
    A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  8. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces F. Jutgla
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces B. Iglesias
  10. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by Y. Berchiche
    1-1
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces U. Gomez
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
  13. 42'
    Yellow Card
    I. Radu (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  14. 38'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  15. 10'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  16. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by W. Swedberg, assisted by I. Moriba
    1-0

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +120, Celta Vigo +270, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-141)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 42.3%
  • Celta Vigo: 30.4%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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