Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
:
1
May 17, 1:00 PM ET
Athletic Bilbao
May 17, 1:00 PM ET
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
I. Williams (52')
Soccer ball icon
W. Swedberg (4')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Vecino replaces F. Lopez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces A. Berenguer
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Alvarez replaces W. Swedberg
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces M. Jauregizar
68'
Yellow Card
A. Laporte (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: P. Duran replaces F. Jutgla
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces B. Iglesias
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by Y. Berchiche
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Navarro replaces U. Gomez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
42'
Yellow Card
I. Radu (Celta Vigo) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by W. Swedberg, assisted by I. Moriba
1-0

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +120, Celta Vigo +270, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-141)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 42.3%
  • Celta Vigo: 30.4%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.3%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.