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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
1
2
Apr 11, 3:00 PM ET
Sevilla
Apr 11, 3:00 PM ET
Score Summary
A. Adams (pen.) (10')
N. Gudelj (45')
J. Bonar (35')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Sevilla
- Atletico Madrid
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces A. Adams
Substitution for Sevilla: G. Suazo replaces J. Sanchez
J. Morcillo (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Monserrate replaces J. Diaz
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces R. Vargas
A. Baena (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
A. Griezmann (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Lookman replaces R. Belaid
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Morcillo replaces R. Mendoza
Substitution for Sevilla: D. Sow replaces M. Bueno
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces I. Romero
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
Goal scored for Sevilla by N. Gudelj, assisted by R. Vargas
1-2
J. Diaz (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
M. Bueno (Sevilla) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Bonar, assisted by J. Diaz
1-1
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams (pen.)
0-1
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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sevilla +125, Atletico Madrid +230, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Sevilla: 38.6%
- Atletico Madrid: 34.9%
- Draw: 26.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid (12.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score
Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.6%.
The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.