Real Madrid vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Girona La Liga match on April 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
:
1
Apr 10, 3:00 PM ET
Real Madrid
Apr 10, 3:00 PM ET
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
GironaGIR
F. Valverde (51')
Soccer ball icon
T. Lemar (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Madrid
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Girona
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
H. Rincon (Girona) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces A. Ruiz
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces B. Diaz
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: F. Beltran replaces I. Martin
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mendy replaces F. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Tchouameni replaces E. Camavinga
76'
Yellow Card
F. Valverde (Real Madrid) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: H. Rincon replaces T. Lemar
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: B. Gil replaces A. Ounahi
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces C. Echeverri
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Huijsen replaces Eder Militao
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces J. Bellingham
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by T. Lemar, assisted by A. Martinez
1-1
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by B. Diaz
0-1
35'
Yellow Card
K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) cautioned

Real Madrid vs. Girona: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Girona
  • Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -275, Girona +800, draw +500
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+275)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 70.0%
  • Girona: 13.1%
  • Draw: 17.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Girona (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Real Madrid vs. Girona? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.0%.

The most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-0 Girona.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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