Elche vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Valencia La Liga match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Valencia
0
1
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
L. Cepeda (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: V. Chust replaces G. Valera
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Danjuma replaces L. Beltran
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces E. Comert
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
  5. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by L. Cepeda, assisted by A. Febas
    0-1
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces M. Neto
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Pedrosa replaces G. Villar
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Rodriguez replaces Andre Silva
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces Buba Sangare
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card
    G. Rodriguez (Valencia) cautioned
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces U. Sadiq
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces L. Rioja
  13. 59'
    Yellow Card
    Buba Sangare (Elche) cautioned

Elche vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +165, Valencia +165, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 39.4%
  • Valencia: 34.0%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Valencia (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Elche vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Elche is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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