Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on January 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
3
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Reale Arena
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
M. Oyarzabal (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Caleta-Car (45')
Red Card icon
M. Oyarzabal (75')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mendez (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
B. Iglesias (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez (pen.)
    1-3
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Mendez replaces L. Sucic
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Sotelo
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces S. Carreira
  6. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by J. Gorrotxategi
    1-2
  7. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Iglesias
    1-1
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces G. Guedes
  9. 64'
    Yellow Card
    P. Matarazzo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  10. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: I. Aspas replaces I. Moriba
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces M. Fernandez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: I. Zubeldia replaces A. Barrenetxea
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Odriozola replaces B. Turrientes
  15. 45'
    Red Card
    D. Caleta-Car (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. Zaragoza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  17. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by B. Turrientes
    0-1
  18. 16'
    Yellow Card
    L. Sucic (Real Sociedad) cautioned

Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +115, Celta Vigo +260, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 43.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 29.8%
  • Draw: 27.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.0%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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