Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on November 1, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
2
3
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Reale Arena
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
B. Mendez (38')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (47')
Soccer ball icon
J. Gorrotxategi (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guruzeta (42')
Soccer ball icon
R. Navarro (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by J. Gorrotxategi, assisted by M. Oyarzabal
    2-3
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces A. Zakharyan
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Goti Lopez replaces C. Soler
  6. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro
    2-2
  7. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gorrotxategi (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Rego replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  9. 65'
    Yellow Card
    I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: P. Marin replaces B. Mendez
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces G. Guedes
  12. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces O. Sancet
  13. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by B. Mendez
    1-2
  14. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta, assisted by A. Gorosabel
    1-1
  15. 41'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces A. Barrenetxea
  16. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by B. Mendez
    0-1

Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +170, Athletic Bilbao +195, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+145/-200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 35.6%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.6%
  • Draw: 29.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 35.6%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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