Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves La Liga match on October 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
0
1
Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Alemao (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by Alemao, assisted by P. Chavarria
0-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces Alemao
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces T. Martinez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces J. de Frutos
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Ciss replaces O. Valentin
72'
Yellow Card
P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces D. Suarez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces U. Lopez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces F. Perez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Vicente
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces A. Blanco
53'
Yellow Card
D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: V. Parada replaces J. Pacheco
34'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +125, Alaves +270, draw +200

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 43.1%
  • Alaves: 28.4%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.1%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.