Racing Santander vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [10/11/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Racing Santander and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 40.8% chance of Racing Santander winning, a 34.8% chance for Valencia, and a 24.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57.3% chance of going over., with a 60.0% probability that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Valencia +203, Racing Santander +138
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+133)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Valencia @ +203 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +133 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Racing Santander 1-1 Valencia (11.2% probability)
• Racing Santander 2-1 Valencia (8.8%)
• Racing Santander 1-2 Valencia (8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.0% chance of both Racing Santander and Valencia finding the net and a 40.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga game between Racing Santander and Valencia at Estadio El Sardinero is scheduled to begin in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Racing Santander vs. Valencia
• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio El Sardinero

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Racing Santander has a 40.8% win probability on Sunday, Valencia has a 34.8% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.