Tottenham vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tottenham vs. Leeds Premier League match on May 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
1
:
1
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
TottenhamTOT
Score Summary
LeedsLU
M. Tel (50')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (74')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tottenham
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces A. Tanaka
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. De Zerbi (Tottenham) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: J. Maddison replaces M. Tel
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: D. Spence replaces D. Udogie
  5. 82'
    Yellow Card
    P. Porro (Tottenham) cautioned
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: L. Bergvall replaces R. Bentancur
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodon (Leeds) cautioned
  8. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
    1-1
  9. 66'
    Yellow Card
    J. Palhinha (Tottenham) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces B. Aaronson
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces D. James
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces P. Struijk
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tottenham by M. Tel
    0-1
  14. 41'
    Yellow Card
    K. Danso (Tottenham) cautioned

Tottenham vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tottenham vs. Leeds
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tottenham -120, Leeds +340, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tottenham: 51.5%
  • Leeds: 24.6%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Tottenham vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Tottenham is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.5%.

The most likely correct score is Tottenham 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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