Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Liverpool vs. Chelsea Premier League match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
:
1
Anfield
Liverpool
Anfield
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
R. Gravenberch (6')
Soccer ball icon
E. Fernandez (35')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mac Allister (Liverpool) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Yellow Card
    M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: J. Gomez replaces I. Konate
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces C. Gakpo
  7. 73'
    Yellow Card
    E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
  8. 71'
    Yellow Card
    C. McFarlane (Chelsea) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Isak replaces R. Ngumoha
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Hato (Chelsea) cautioned
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces Andrey Santos
  12. 49'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
  13. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez
    1-1
  14. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by R. Gravenberch, assisted by R. Ngumoha
    0-1

Liverpool vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Anfield

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool +102, Chelsea +260, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Liverpool: 53.4%
  • Chelsea: 25.1%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Liverpool vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.4%.

The most likely correct score is Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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