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Burnley vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
:
2
May 10, 9:00 AM ET Turf Moor
May 10, 9:00 AM ET Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Anthony (8')
Z. Flemming (59')
R. Barkley (42')
O. Watkins (56')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Burnley
- Aston Villa
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces Florentino
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces J. Anthony
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. McGinn
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Amdouni replaces Z. Flemming
Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces R. Barkley
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces M. Cash
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces V. Lindelof
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces H. Mejbri
Z. Flemming (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming, assisted by H. Mejbri
2-2
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by E. Martinez
2-1
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley, assisted by J. McGinn
1-1
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony
0-1
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Burnley vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +550, Aston Villa -190, draw +350
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Burnley: 17.9%
- Aston Villa: 61.1%
- Draw: 21.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Burnley 0-2 Aston Villa (10.0%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Burnley vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score
Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.1%.
The most likely correct score is Burnley 0-2 Aston Villa.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Aston Villa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
