Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Chelsea Premier League match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.

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FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Chelsea

Mar 1, 11:30 AM ET Emirates Stadium

Arsenal

Mar 1, 11:30 AM ET Emirates Stadium

ArsenalARS

Score Summary

ChelseaCFC

W. Saliba (21')

J. Timber (66')

P. Hincapie (o.g.) (45')

P. Neto (70')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

Arsenal
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea
0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces M. Sarr

86'

Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces E. Fernandez

86'

Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces C. Palmer

79'

E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned

76'

Substitution for Arsenal: K. Havertz replaces V. Gyokeres

76'

Substitution for Arsenal: C. Norgaard replaces D. Rice

75'

Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned

75'

Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces Andrey Santos

75'

Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces J. Hato

70'

P. Neto (Chelsea) sent off for a second yellow card

67'

P. Neto (Chelsea) cautioned

66'

Goal scored for Arsenal by J. Timber, assisted by D. Rice

1-2

65'

J. Hato (Chelsea) cautioned

59'

C. Palmer (Chelsea) cautioned

56'

Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard

45'

Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Hincapie (o.g.), assisted by R. James

1-1

21'

Goal scored for Arsenal by W. Saliba, assisted by Gabriel

0-1

Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

Teams: Arsenal vs. Chelsea
Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
Time: 11:30 AM ET
Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Arsenal -190, Chelsea +525, draw +340
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

Arsenal: 68.2%
Chelsea: 13.3%
Draw: 18.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Chelsea (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Arsenal vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.2%.

The most likely correct score is Arsenal 2-0 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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