College football picks today: Week 3 Saturday best bets include Murray State vs. Oklahoma State play [9/19/2026]

Murray State +55.5 (+100)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Murray State vs. Oklahoma State (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Murray State +55.5 at +100 odds. A 56.8% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's college football slate.

Buffalo +41 (-109)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Buffalo vs. Penn State (12:00PM ET)

Buffalo +41 carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 58.2% at -109 odds, according to our model.

Mercer +40.5 (-108)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Mercer vs. Georgia Tech (12:00PM ET)

Mercer +40.5 vs. Georgia Tech at -108 odds shows a 5.3% edge, supported by a 57.2% probability in simulations.

Murray State vs. Oklahoma State under 70.5 points (-106)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Murray State vs. Oklahoma State (7:00PM ET)

A 5.0% edge and 56.5% probability make Murray State vs. Oklahoma State under 70.5 points a value play in the Murray State vs. Oklahoma State matchup, per our model.

Nicholls State +19 (-113)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston State (7:00PM ET)

Nicholls State +19 at -113 presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.9%.

Wagner +58.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Wagner vs. California (3:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Wagner +58.5 at -110, supported by an edge of 4.8%.

Old Dominion -3 (-104)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: East Carolina vs. Old Dominion (6:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Old Dominion -3 at -104. A 55.5% probability produces a 4.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's college football action.

Montana +17.5 (-114)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Matchup: Montana vs. Oregon State (11:00PM ET)

A 4.5% edge on a 57.8% probability makes Montana +17.5 at -114a solid value play in today's Montana vs. Oregon State matchup.

Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-MonroeOver 47.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe (4:30PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 47.5 points at -108. A 56.3% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Valparaiso +24.5 (-113)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: East Carolina vs. Old Dominion (1:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Valparaiso +24.5 at -113 shows a 57.3% probability and a 4.3% edge.

NCAAF best bets summary: Saturday, 9/19/2026

As of 3:33AM ET, here are our top college football bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming college football games to bet on now

• Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware (11:30AM ET, Saturday)
• Georgia vs. Arkansas (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• North Carolina vs. Clemson (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Arizona State vs. Kansas (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Kent State vs. Ohio State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Tulane vs. Kansas State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Akron vs. Minnesota (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Bowling Green vs. Iowa State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• North Texas vs. Texas State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Buffalo vs. Penn State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

College football offer for Week 3

Make the most of the picks in this article—including Murray State +55.5—with the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

Our college football best bets are locked and loaded for September 19, 2026, featuring plays such as Murray State +55.5 vs. Oklahoma State and Buffalo +41. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.