NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 17, 2024

As part of our extensive NFL betting coverage, Dimers.com provides a weekly list of NFL picks against the spread, and for Week 17, we've employed our advanced predictive analytics model to deliver NFL spread picks for all 16 games.

With professional NFL picks against spread for every game on the Week 17 NFL slate, our expert predictive model is here to guide you through another huge week of football.

Below, you'll find a detailed list of each team's chances of covering the spread in NFL Week 17, based on over 10,000 simulations of each game. These NFL predictions for Week 17 show the probability of each team covering the spread in their respective games.

While the picks in this article are based purely on probabilities, it's crucial for bettors to note that the best betting value may come from better odds available elsewhere.

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For more NFL betting coverage, check out the best NFL week 17 odds and our NFL Week 17 straight up picks.

NFL Spread Picks: Week 17, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5)

The opening game of Week 17 features the Steelers hosting the Chiefs, with Pittsburgh listed as a 1.5-point underdog.

After 10,000 simulations of this matchup, our expertly tuned model projects the Chiefs as having a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Steelers have a 48% chance.

• Pick ATS: Chiefs -1.5

Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans (+6.5)

Simulations show a 57% chance of the Texans (+6.5) covering the spread at NRG Stadium, while the Ravens have a 43% chance.

• Pick ATS: Texans +6.5

Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears (+4.5)

The Bears are listed as +4.5 underdogs against the Seahawks this week.

Our model projects the Bears as the more likely team to cover, with a probability of 54%, compared to 46% for the Seahawks.

• Pick ATS: Bears +4.5

LA Chargers Chargers vs. New England Patriots (+4.5)

Our simulations give the Chargers a 48% chance of covering the +4.5 spread on the road against the Patriots, who have a 52% chance.

• Pick ATS: Patriots +4.5

For those interested in betting on the spread, the oddsmakers have listed the Chargers at -105 to cover and the Patriots at -115.

Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5)

At home against the Broncos, the Bengals are 3.5-point favorites.

Our model projects that the sportsbooks have nailed this one, with a 50-50 chance of either team covering the spread.

However, when searching for a pick, the Bengals get a slight lean.

• Pick ATS: Bengals -3.5

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-6.5)

Our model projects a 57% chance of the Cardinals covering the spread against the Rams, who have a 43% chance.

The line is set with Los Angeles as 6.5-point favorites at home.

• Pick ATS: Cardinals +6.5

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)

In this closely matched game, the Jaguars are 1.5-point favorites at home.

According to our model, the Titans have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Jaguars have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Titans +1.5

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8)

Our model predicts the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this matchup, giving them a slight edge in what is essentially a 50-50 projection against the Panthers.

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers -8

For those looking to place a bet, the line is set at Buccaneers -8, with the odds at -108 for the Buccaneers to cover at home and -110 for the Panthers to cover on the road.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints (+1.5)

Our simulations suggest a 52% chance of New Orleans covering the spread, while the Raiders have a 48% chance.

The traveling Raiders are slight favorites with a 1.5-point spread in Week 17 against the Saints.

• Pick ATS: Saints +1.5

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills (-9.5)

The Bills enter this matchup as 9.5-point favorites at home against the Jets.

According to our simulations, the Jets have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Bills have a 47% chance.

• Pick ATS: Jets +9.5

For those interested in betting on this line, the Jets are listed at -110 to cover, with the Bills also at -110.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5)

With a probability of 58%, our pick to cover in this game is the Cowboys +7.5. The Eagles, their opponent, have a projected 42% chance of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: Cowboys +7.5

Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Giants (+7.5)

Both the Giants and Colts have a 50% chance of covering the spread on Sunday afternoon.

However, our pick is the Giants, who covered the spread in slightly more of the 10,000 simulations we ran for the game at Highmark Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Giants +7.5

Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns (+6.5)

We've run our powerful NFL model 10,000 times for this week’s Dolphins-Browns clash, with our model unable to split the two teams at the line.

With the sportsbooks nailing the 6.5-point gap between the teams, our pick is the Browns to cover, who have a slightly higher probability.

• Pick ATS: Browns +6.5

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (+1)

Our simulations indicate a 50-50 chance of both the Vikings and Packers covering in this matchup.

However, the Vikings emerged as the pick in slightly more simulations, making Minnesota our pick against the spread for the Week 17 game at U.S. Bank Stadium.

• Pick ATS: Vikings +1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders (-4)

We are picking the Commanders to cover the spread in their game against the Falcons this week.

According to our trusted NFL model, there is a 54% chance that the home team will cover the -4 line, while the Falcons have a 46% chance on Sunday Night Football.

• Pick ATS: Commanders -4

Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers (+3.5)

The final game of Week 17 features the Lions taking on the 49ers at Levi's Stadium.

We are picking the 49ers to cover the spread, with a projected 54% chance of covering, while the Lions have a 46% likelihood of covering the spread.

• Pick ATS: 49ers +3.5

Complete List of NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread:

• Chiefs -1.5 (52%)
• Texans +6.5 (57%)
• Bears +4.5 (54%)
• Patriots +4.5 (52%)
• Bengals -3.5 (slight lean)
• Cardinals +6.5 (57%)
• Titans +1.5 (53%)
• Buccaneers -8 (slight lean)
• Saints +1.5 (52%)
• Jets +9.5 (53%)
• Cowboys +7.5 (58%)
• Giants +7.5 (slight lean)
• Browns +6.5 (slight lean)
• Vikings +1 (slight lean)
• Commanders -4 (54%)
• 49ers +3.5 (54%)

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NFL Week 17 Slate and Game Times

Below is the schedule and start times for each Week 17 matchup, so you can catch every moment of the action.

• Chiefs vs. Steelers (Wednesday, 1:00PM ET)
• Ravens vs. Texans (Wednesday, 4:30PM ET)
• Seahawks vs. Bears (Thursday, 8:15PM ET)
• Chargers vs. Patriots (Saturday, 1:00PM ET)
• Broncos vs. Bengals (Saturday, 4:30PM ET)
• Cardinals vs. Rams (Saturday, 8:10PM ET)
• Titans vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Panthers vs. Buccaneers (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Raiders vs. Saints (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Jets vs. Bills (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Cowboys vs. Eagles (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Colts vs. Giants (Sunday, 1:00PM ET)
• Dolphins vs. Browns (Sunday, 4:05PM ET)
• Packers vs. Vikings (Sunday, 4:25PM ET)
• Falcons vs. Commanders (Sunday, 8:20PM ET)
• Lions vs. 49ers (Monday, 8:15PM ET)

Week 17 NFL Picks Against Spread

The NFL Week 17 picks against the spread in this article are accurate at the time of publication and may be subject to change.

Football fans across the country rely on our NFL expert picks against the spread because Dimers.com is the best website for NFL predictions.

If you decide to use our NFL spread picks for betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Please note that all NFL odds and probabilities on this page are subject to change.

Conclusion

Our Week 17 NFL picks against the spread start with the Chiefs -1.5 at a 52% probability on Wednesday, with the week concluding as we pick the 49ers +3.5 with a probability of 54%.

For more Week 17 betting tools, explore our NFL odds, NFL prop bets, NFL trends and NFL futures.