Colts vs. Jaguars prediction favors Jacksonville to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 80.2% win probability for the Jaguars at EverBank Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts will meet in Week 8 of the NFL season at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Jaguars as the most likely winner in this Colts vs. Jaguars prediction.
This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Colts vs. Jaguars prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Jaguars an 80.2% chance of beating the Colts in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 28-17.
Key factors favoring the Jaguars:
- Jaguars team rating
- Jaguars offense
- Colts QB situation
According to our model, the Jaguars (-9.5) have a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 51.3% chance of staying under.
What's tipping the scales toward the under?:
- Colts recent performance
- Playing conditions
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Colts +9.5 (+108) / Jaguars -9.5 (-113)
- Moneyline: Colts +426, Jaguars -426
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (+104/-105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Colts +9.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Colts @ 19¢ via Novig
- Total: Under 46.5 @ -105 via hard_rock
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Colts to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Colts vs. Jaguars TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Colts vs. Jaguars?
According to our model, Jonathan Taylor is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Colts vs. Jaguars.
Our projections give Taylor a 51.7% chance of scoring a TD at EverBank Stadium, while the running back is a 13.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Indianapolis Colts
- Jonathan Taylor (RB): 51.7% probability
- Tyler Warren (TE): 22.3%
- Seth McGowan (RB): 19.6%
- Keenan Allen (WR): 16.6%
- Josh Downs (WR): 15.0%
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 50.2% prob.
- Parker Washington (WR): 44.7%
- Brenton Strange (TE): 28.5%
- Chris Rodriguez (RB): 26.5%
- Jakobi Meyers (WR): 25.2%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Indianapolis Colts
- Jonathan Taylor (RB): 13.8% prob.
- Tyler Warren (TE): 4.8%
- Seth McGowan (RB): 4.1%
- Keenan Allen (WR): 3.4%
- Josh Downs (WR): 3.1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 11.5% prob.
- Parker Washington (WR): 9.7%
- Brenton Strange (TE): 5.5%
- Chris Rodriguez (RB): 5.1%
- Jakobi Meyers (WR): 4.8%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Colts and Jaguars. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Colts' Daniel Jones is projected for 200 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 243 yards.
Colts rushing
- Jonathan Taylor: 59 yds
- Seth McGowan: 23 yds
- Daniel Jones: 13 yds
Jaguars rushing
- Bhayshul Tuten: 69 yds
- Chris Rodriguez: 34 yds
- Trevor Lawrence: 15 yds
Colts receiving
- Keenan Allen: 43 yds
- Tyler Warren: 42 yds
- Josh Downs: 39 yds
- Laquon Treadwell: 29 yds
- Jonathan Taylor: 18 yds
Jaguars receiving
- Parker Washington: 72 yds
- Brenton Strange: 45 yds
- Jakobi Meyers: 40 yds
- Josh Cameron: 29 yds
- Travis Hunter: 25 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 8 game between the Jaguars and Colts at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Jaguars, with an 80.2% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 8 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



