NFL best bets today: Week 8 picks include Patriots vs. Dolphins play [11/1/2026]

Patriots vs. Dolphins Under 43.5 points (-112)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Matchup: Patriots vs. Dolphins (4:25PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 43.5 points in Patriots vs. Dolphins at -112 odds. A 61.3% probability produces an edge of 8.5%, making this the strongest play for today's NFL slate.

Vikings vs. Lions Over 46.5 points (+113)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: Vikings vs. Lions (1:00PM ET)

Vikings vs. Lions over 46.5 points carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 53.6% at 47¢ odds, according to our model.

Rams -6.5 (50¢)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Chargers vs. Rams (4:05PM ET)

Rams -6.5 vs. Chargers at 50¢ odds shows a 6.5% edge, supported by a 56.5% probability in simulations.

Chiefs ML (-108)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Chiefs vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET)

A 5.6% edge and 57.5% probability makes Chiefs at the moneyline a value play in the Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup, per our model.

Jets ML (-117)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Raiders vs. Jets (1:00PM ET)

Jets ML at 54¢ presents a 4.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.6%.

Ravens vs. Bills Under 54.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Ravens vs. Bills (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 54.5 points in Ravens vs. Bills at 50¢, supported by an edge of 4.2%.

Dolphins ML (+308)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 27.9%
• Matchup: Patriots vs. Dolphins (4:25PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Patriots-Dolphins to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 25¢. A 27.9% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's NFL action.

Chiefs -1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Matchup: Chiefs vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET)

A 3.3% edge on a 51.4% probability makes Chiefs -1.5 at 48¢a solid value play in today's Chiefs vs. Broncos matchup.

Titans vs. BengalsOver 46.5 points (+104)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Matchup: Titans vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 46.5 points at 49¢. A 51.7% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Browns vs. Steelers Over 38.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Browns vs. Steelers (1:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Browns vs. Steelers Over 38.5 points at 52¢ shows a 54.5% probability and a 2.6% edge.

NFL best bets summary: Sunday, 11/1/2026

As of 1:34AM ET, here are our top NFL bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NFL games to bet on [11/1/2026]

• Colts vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Titans vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Browns vs. Steelers (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Vikings vs. Lions (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Falcons vs. Buccaneers (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Cowboys (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Raiders vs. Jets (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Ravens vs. Bills (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Chargers vs. Rams (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
• Patriots vs. Dolphins (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Chiefs vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Eagles vs. Commanders (8:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NFL best bets are locked and loaded for November 1, 2026, featuring plays such as under 43.5 points in the Patriots vs. Dolphins matchup and over 46.5 points in the Vikings vs. Lions matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.