Ravens vs. Bills prediction favors Buffalo to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

Since our Ravens-Bills predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Ravens and Bills, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Bills a 60.3% chance of defeating the Ravens in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bills winning 27-25.

Key factors favoring the Bills:

• Bills offense
• Bills team rating
• Bills home-field advantage

According to our model, the Ravens (+3.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 54.7% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

• Playing conditions
• Ravens pace

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Ravens +3.5 (-117) / Bills -3.5 (+115)
• Moneyline: Ravens +156, Bills -163
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (+100/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Ravens +3.5 @ 54¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Ravens @ 39¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 54.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 54.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Ravens vs. Bills TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Bills?

According to our model, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs. Bills.

Our projections give Henry a 61.7% chance of scoring a TD at Highmark Stadium, while the running back is a 14.1% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 61.7% probability
• Zay Flowers (WR): 40.2%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 27.3%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 20.9%
• Ja'Kobi Lane (WR): 20.3%

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen (QB): 57.2% prob.
• James Cook (RB): 56.6%
• DJ Moore (WR): 33.8%
• Dalton Kincaid (TE): 24.9%
• Khalil Shakir (WR): 21.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Baltimore Ravens

• Derrick Henry (RB): 14.1% prob.
• Zay Flowers (WR): 7.5%
• Mark Andrews (TE): 4.7%
• Lamar Jackson (QB): 3.4%
• Ja'Kobi Lane (WR): 3.3%

Buffalo Bills

• Josh Allen (QB): 12.3% prob.
• James Cook (RB): 12.1%
• DJ Moore (WR): 6.0%
• Dalton Kincaid (TE): 4.2%
• Khalil Shakir (WR): 3.5%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Bills. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 246 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 248 yards.

Ravens rushing

• Derrick Henry: 80 yds
• Lamar Jackson: 32 yds
• Justice Hill: 14 yds

Bills rushing

• James Cook: 93 yds
• Josh Allen: 40 yds
• Ray Davis: 7 yds

Ravens receiving

• Zay Flowers: 87 yds
• Ja'Kobi Lane: 38 yds
• Mark Andrews: 34 yds
• Rashod Bateman: 31 yds
• Justice Hill: 15 yds

Bills receiving

• DJ Moore: 59 yds
• Dalton Kincaid: 47 yds
• Khalil Shakir: 47 yds
• Keon Coleman: 35 yds
• Ty Johnson: 18 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 action between the Bills and Ravens at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Highmark Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Bills, with a 60.3% win probability, will likely beat the Ravens in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.