Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction favors Kansas City to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]

Since our Chiefs-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Chiefs and Broncos, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Chiefs a 57.5% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chiefs winning 21-19.

Key factors favoring the Chiefs:

• Chiefs offense
• Broncos QB situation
• Broncos offense

According to our model, the Chiefs (-1.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (+108) / Broncos +1.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -106, Broncos +104
• Total: Over/Under 40.5 (-108/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 @ 48¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Chiefs @ 51¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 40.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Chiefs to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Chiefs vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Chiefs vs. Broncos?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 8, Kenneth Walker is most likely to score an anytime TD in Chiefs vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Walker a 54.7% chance of getting in for six at Empower Field at Mile High, while the running back is a 17.1% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kenneth Walker (RB): 54.7% probability
• Rashee Rice (WR): 26.5%
• Travis Kelce (TE): 24.5%
• Xavier Worthy (WR): 20.7%
• Patrick Mahomes (QB): 15.1%

Denver Broncos

• Jonah Coleman (RB): 37.5% prob.
• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 29.2%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 23.0%
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 22.0%
• Bo Nix (QB): 16.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kenneth Walker (RB): 17.1% prob.
• Rashee Rice (WR): 6.7%
• Travis Kelce (TE): 6.1%
• Xavier Worthy (WR): 5.0%
• Patrick Mahomes (QB): 3.5%

Denver Broncos

• Jonah Coleman (RB): 8.9% prob.
• J.K. Dobbins (RB): 6.6%
• Courtland Sutton (WR): 5.0%
• Jaylen Waddle (WR): 4.7%
• Bo Nix (QB): 3.4%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chiefs and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected for 226 passing yards. The Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 210 yards.

Chiefs rushing

• Kenneth Walker: 86 yds
• Patrick Mahomes: 18 yds
• Emmett Johnson: 12 yds

Broncos rushing

• Jonah Coleman: 48 yds
• J.K. Dobbins: 36 yds
• Bo Nix: 18 yds

Chiefs receiving

• Rashee Rice: 54 yds
• Travis Kelce: 46 yds
• Xavier Worthy: 37 yds
• Kenneth Walker: 23 yds
• Noah Gray: 18 yds

Broncos receiving

• Jaylen Waddle: 53 yds
• Courtland Sutton: 45 yds
• Evan Engram: 26 yds
• Jonah Coleman: 22 yds
• Troy Franklin: 22 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 game between the Broncos and Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to start at 4:25 PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25 PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 57.5% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 8 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.