Chargers vs. Rams prediction favors Los Angeles to win in NFL Week 8 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 74.4% win probability for the Rams at SoFi Stadium.

The Los Angeles Rams will face the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 8 action at SoFi Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Rams as the most likely winner in this Chargers vs. Rams prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Chargers vs. Rams prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rams a 74.4% chance of defeating the Chargers in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Rams winning 26-18.
Key factors favoring the Rams:
- Rams offense
- Chargers QB situation
- Rams team rating
According to our model, the Rams (-6.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 45.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of staying under.
Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::
- QB ratings
- Chargers recent performance
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Chargers +6.5 (+100) / Rams -6.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Chargers +270, Rams -258
- Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-106/+102)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Rams -6.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Rams @ -258 via DraftKings
- Total: Under 45.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rams -6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Chargers vs. Rams TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Chargers vs. Rams?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 8, Kyren Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Chargers vs. Rams.
Our projections give Williams a 58.2% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 15.0% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 33.9% probability
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 26.9%
- Kimani Vidal (RB): 20.5%
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 20.0%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 16.5%
Los Angeles Rams
- Kyren Williams (RB): 58.2% prob.
- Puka Nacua (WR): 46.0%
- Blake Corum (RB): 30.5%
- Tyler Higbee (TE): 26.5%
- Colby Parkinson (TE): 22.2%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Los Angeles Chargers
- Omarion Hampton (RB): 7.7% prob.
- Ladd McConkey (WR): 5.8%
- Kimani Vidal (RB): 4.3%
- Quentin Johnston (WR): 4.1%
- Keaton Mitchell (RB): 3.3%
Los Angeles Rams
- Kyren Williams (RB): 15.0% prob.
- Puka Nacua (WR): 10.6%
- Blake Corum (RB): 6.2%
- Tyler Higbee (TE): 5.3%
- Colby Parkinson (TE): 4.3%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Chargers and Rams. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chargers' Justin Herbert is projected for 210 passing yards, while the Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 259 yards.
Chargers rushing
- Omarion Hampton: 39 yds
- Justin Herbert: 26 yds
- Kimani Vidal: 25 yds
Rams rushing
- Kyren Williams: 69 yds
- Blake Corum: 51 yds
- Puka Nacua: 3 yds
Chargers receiving
- Ladd McConkey: 52 yds
- Tre' Harris: 39 yds
- Quentin Johnston: 38 yds
- Charlie Kolar: 23 yds
- Oronde Gadsden: 21 yds
Rams receiving
- Puka Nacua: 96 yds
- Tyler Higbee: 40 yds
- Kyren Williams: 27 yds
- Colby Parkinson: 24 yds
- Konata Mumpfield: 24 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 8 action between the Rams and Chargers at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05 PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Rams, with a 74.4% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers in Week 8 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



