Eagles vs. Commanders prediction: Why Washington is favored to win SNF Week 8 [2026]

Since our Eagles-Commanders predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Eagles and Commanders, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Commanders a 73.0% chance of defeating the Eagles in Week 8 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 23-16.

Key factors favoring the Commanders:

• Eagles QB situation
• Commanders team rating
• Commanders QB situation

According to our model, the Commanders (-6.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 51.8% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

• Eagles recent performance
• Commanders recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 8 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Eagles +6.5 (-108) / Commanders -6.5 (+108)
• Moneyline: Eagles +233, Commanders -239
• Total: Over/Under 40.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Commanders -6.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Commanders @ 71¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 40.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Commanders -6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Eagles vs. Commanders TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Eagles vs. Commanders?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 8, Rachaad White is most likely to score an anytime TD in Eagles vs. Commanders.

Our projections give White a 37.9% chance of scoring a TD at Northwest Stadium, while the running back is a 9.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 33.7% probability
• Dallas Goedert (TE): 28.8%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 20.9%
• Darius Cooper (WR): 19.0%
• Hollywood Brown (WR): 14.0%

Washington Commanders

• Rachaad White (RB): 37.9% prob.
• Stefon Diggs (WR): 35.5%
• Jayden Daniels (QB): 32.0%
• Antonio Williams (WR): 23.9%
• Chig Okonkwo (TE): 22.7%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 8.3% prob.
• Dallas Goedert (TE): 6.8%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 4.7%
• Darius Cooper (WR): 4.2%
• Hollywood Brown (WR): 3.0%

Washington Commanders

• Rachaad White (RB): 9.8% prob.
• Stefon Diggs (WR): 9.0%
• Jayden Daniels (QB): 7.9%
• Antonio Williams (WR): 5.6%
• Chig Okonkwo (TE): 5.3%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Eagles and Commanders. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 8 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Eagles' Tanner McKee is projected for 211 passing yards, while the Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 206 yards.

Eagles rushing

• Saquon Barkley: 58 yds
• Elijah Mitchell: 21 yds
• Tanner McKee: 7 yds

Commanders rushing

• Rachaad White: 47 yds
• Jayden Daniels: 37 yds
• Austin Ekeler: 22 yds

Eagles receiving

• Makai Lemon: 48 yds
• Dallas Goedert: 46 yds
• Darius Cooper: 33 yds
• Hollywood Brown: 29 yds
• Saquon Barkley: 15 yds

Commanders receiving

• Stefon Diggs: 48 yds
• Antonio Williams: 42 yds
• Chig Okonkwo: 35 yds
• Treylon Burks: 27 yds
• Dyami Brown: 19 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 8 game between the Commanders and Eagles at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20 PM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 73.0% win probability, will likely beat the Eagles in Week 8 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.