Cardinals vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Phillies MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Hunter Dobbins 3-3, 3.42 ERA
6
7
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 11-5, 3.23 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 6 12 0
Phillies
2 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 7 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alec Bohm triples to deep center field. Edmundo Sosa scores. Bryce Harper scores.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B5000004.0000.000
2 I. Herrera DH5110003.2000.400
3 J. Walker RF5232101.6001.800
4 A. Burleson 1B2210000.5001.000
5 B. Jordan 3B5010001.2000.400
6 J. Fermín CF5021000.4001.000
7 M. Winn SS0000000.0000.000
8 B. Torres LF4011001.2500.500
9 J. Crooks C1000000.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4000001.0000.200
2 T. Turner SS4000012.0000.200
3 B. Harper RF4100011.0000.200
4 E. Sosa PR0100000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B5133000.6001.600
6 B. Stott 3B3100011.0000.250
7 B. De La Cruz LF10100001.0002.000
8 J. Realmuto C3022010.6672.083
9 D. Hill CF1000000.0000.000

Cardinals vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cardinals (+1.5, +117), Phillies (-1.5, -115)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals +245, Phillies -245
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cardinals: 29.3%
  • Phillies: 70.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 29.3%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 70.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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