Blue Jays vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jays vs. Yankees MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Blue Jays
Mason Fluharty 5-1, 3.71 ERA
1
3
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 10-6, 2.19 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Blue Jays
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 9 0
Yankees
0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 X 3 4 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blue Jays
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brett Bateman strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF5130001.6001.800
2 D. Schneider LF0000000.0000.000
3 A. Kirk C2011021.5001.250
4 J. Sánchez DH4020001.5001.250
5 E. Clement SS4010001.2500.500
6 K. Okamoto 3B4010000.2500.500
7 B. Valenzuela 1B4010001.2500.750
8 C. McAdoo 2B4000002.0000.000
9 M. Straw RF3000010.0000.250
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4010002.2500.500
2 J. Chisholm 2B3000000.0000.000
3 M. Schuemann RF0000000.0000.000
4 B. Rice DH2000021.0000.500
5 G. Lombard SS4110003.2500.500
6 T. Grisham CF2100021.0000.500
7 S. Jones LF3112101.3331.666
8 J. Caballero 3B2001001.0000.000
9 A. Wells C1000000.0000.000

Blue Jays vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Blue Jays (+1.5, -127), Yankees (-1.5, +120)
  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +180, Yankees -182
  • Total (Over/Under): 7 runs (-105/-114)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Blue Jays: 39.3%
  • Yankees: 60.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jays a win probability of 39.3%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 60.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jays vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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