Receiving an Emmy Award is widely regarded as one of the highest honors in Television. But who will take home the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards this September? This guide takes a closer look at what to expect.
The 2026 ceremony will focus on the best US prime-time television programs that aired between June 2025 and May 2026. Right now, prediction markets like Kalshi are suggesting a two-horse race between The Pitt and Widow’s Bay for who will take home the most Emmys. But keep reading as we uncover more of the important details.
If you want to make accurate culture predictions, looking back at historical performances is usually a good starting point. In 2024, Shōgun made history with 18 Emmy wins, the most ever for a single season, while Baby Reindeer and Hacks also racked up several awards of their own. In 2025, The Studio broke the record for the most wins by a comedy series in one season with 13 Emmys, while Adolescence and The Pitt also cleared up a significant number of Emmys.
There are several factors to consider before making predictions on who will win the most awards. Here are some of the most important:
Most expert analysis and forecast models point to The Pitt as the most likely to win the most Emmy Awards in 2026. Currently, it leads all other shows with 25 nominations, giving it the strongest chance to rack up wins across a variety of categories. Given its success at the Emmy Awards last year, there’s already been a precedent set. However, The Widow’s Bay is seen as the biggest dark horse. It’s a newcomer with a whopping 19 nominations; many experts are tipping it to win several awards.
Kalshi is easily one of the best prediction market sites offering event contracts for who will win the most awards at the 78th Emmys. Here’s how the market is shaping up:
| Who Will Win the Most Awards at the 78th Emmy Awards? | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Pitt | 53% | $0.52 | $0.53 |
| Widow’s Bay | 41% | $0.45 | $0.59 |
| Pluribus | 7% | $0.11 | $0.93 |
There’s plenty more where this came from, as Kalshi offers a wide range of prediction markets for the Emmys, as well as other award shows like the Oscars and the Grammys. If you register with any of our links on this page, you can also claim a $10 sign-up bonus.
While The Pitt looks like the most obvious choice to sweep up the most Emmy awards this year, Widow’s Bay is a closer second and a potential dark horse. If you’ve got any thoughts or opinions on who might win this prediction market, you can trade them at Kalshi. Remember, using any of our links will automatically qualify you for a $10 sign-up bonus.

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