Which Songs Will Be Nominated for Best Pop Solo Performance at the 2027 Grammys?

Grammy voters have plenty of familiar names to choose from this year. Harry Styles and Bruno Mars are back in the conversation, but Olivia Dean, Sombr, and Slayyyter could make the Best Pop Solo Performance nominations at the 2027 Grammys a lot less predictable.

Kalshi has event contracts covering which songs will be nominated on November 16. The interesting part? Traders and music critics aren't necessarily backing the same artists.

Which Songs Are Favored for Best Pop Solo Performance Nominations?

Critics and traders aren't seeing the same race. Rolling Stone is backing several newer artists, while Kalshi's nomination contracts also give established stars plenty of attention.

Here's a snapshot of selected YES contract prices displayed on Kalshi in late October 2026.

These are indicative snapshots, not guaranteed live quotes. Prices and implied probabilities can differ when trading is thin.

Bruno Mars at 79¢ isn't exactly a bargain. A YES contract would return $1 if his song gets nominated, leaving 21¢ in potential profit before fees. That's a fairly small reward for taking on the risk of a Grammy surprise.

Which Artists Have the Strongest Grammy Case?

Olivia Dean doesn't have the Grammy history of Harry Styles or Olivia Rodrigo, but that might not matter this year. Rolling Stone has "So Easy (To Fall in Love)" among its predicted nominees, making her a serious contender.

Rodrigo and Styles have something the newer contenders don't: wins in this exact category. Rodrigo took the award in 2022 for "drivers license," while Styles won a year earlier with "Watermelon Sugar."

Still, past success only goes so far. Rolling Stone favors Rodrigo's "Drop Dead," although a published submission roundup identifies "the cure" as her Best Pop Solo Performance entry. That's worth checking before trading either song.

How Does Kalshi's Grammy Nomination Market Work?

Unlike a traditional sportsbook, Kalshi lets users trade YES and NO event contracts.

Here's the catch with nomination markets: several YES contracts can pay out. Bruno Mars doesn't need Olivia Dean or Harry Styles to miss the cut. All three could receive nominations.

Each successful YES contract settles at $1. An unsuccessful one settles at zero, and trading fees can reduce returns.

Anyone comparing prediction market apps should check the bid-ask spread and available liquidity before trading. A displayed price isn't always the price available for a larger order.

When Will the 2027 Grammy Nominations Be Announced?

The Recording Academy will announce nominees on November 16, 2026, ahead of the February 7, 2027 ceremony.

First-round voting ended October 22, so the ballots are already cast.

That's an important wrinkle for culture prediction markets. Kalshi prices can still move before November 16, but a late surge in popularity won't change votes that have already been submitted.