Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 23, 2026

The Utah Jazz are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction gives Utah a 53.1% chance of winning at Delta Center, but the latest odds suggest value in betting on the Pelicans to cover the -1.5 spread.

Pelicans vs. Jazz: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Jazz 119-118 Pelicans
• Jazz win probability: 53.1%
• Pelicans win probability: 46.9%
• Pelicans -1.5 spread: 57.5% cover probability
• Under 239.5 points: 53.3% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Pelicans vs. Jazz odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Pelicans moneyline: 49¢ (Novig)
• Jazz moneyline: 52¢ (Novig)
• Pelicans -1.5: 51¢ (Kalshi)
• Jazz +1.5: 54¢ (Kalshi)
• Over 239.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 239.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Pelicans -1.5 (51¢)

The Jazz may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Pelicans to cover the -1.5 spread at 51¢, available at Kalshi.

Those odds imply the Pelicans have a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while our model puts that probability at 57.5%.

That's a 6.8% edge in the Pelicans' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Pelicans vs. Jazz player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Trey Murphy leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Pelicans star also expected to add 6 assists and 5.2 rebounds. The Jazz have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pelicans' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 26.3 points
• Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 24.3
• Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.9
• Keyonte George (Jazz): 21.5
• Jaren Jackson (Jazz): 19.1

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Pelicans vs. Jazz predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Friday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Pelicans vs. Jazz predictions.

Pelicans vs. Jazz game details

• Matchup: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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