Hawks vs. Hornets prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 23, 2026

The Atlanta Hawks are favored to beat the Charlotte Hornets on Friday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Hawks vs. Hornets prediction gives Atlanta a 61.6% chance of winning at Spectrum Center, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Hawks to win.

Hawks vs. Hornets: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Hawks 114-111 Hornets
• Hawks win probability: 61.6%
• Hornets win probability: 38.4%
• Hawks -2.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
• Under 226.5 points: 50.9% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Hawks vs. Hornets odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Hawks moneyline: 57¢ (Novig)
• Hornets moneyline: 44¢ (Novig)
• Hawks -2.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Hornets +2.5: 50¢ (Novig)
• Over 226.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
• Under 226.5 points: 49¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Hawks moneyline (57¢)

With Atlanta favored to beat Charlotte, Dimers' top value bet is the Hawks moneyline at 57¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Hawks have a 56.5% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 61.6%.

That's a 5.1% edge in the Hawks' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Hawks vs. Hornets player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Brandon Miller leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Hornets star also expected to add 5.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists. The Hawks have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Hornets' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Brandon Miller (Hornets): 25.0 points
• Jalen Johnson (Hawks): 20.1
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks): 18.2
• Naz Reid (Hornets): 17.0
• CJ McCollum (Hawks): 16.7

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Hawks vs. Hornets predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Friday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Hawks vs. Hornets predictions.

Hawks vs. Hornets game details

• Matchup: Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Spectrum Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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