Raptors vs. Wizards prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 23, 2026

The Toronto Raptors are favored to beat the Washington Wizards on Friday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Raptors vs. Wizards prediction gives Toronto a 73.9% chance of winning at Capital One Arena, but the latest odds suggest value in betting on the Wizards to cover the +8.5 spread.

Raptors vs. Wizards: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Raptors 121-114 Wizards
• Raptors win probability: 73.9%
• Wizards win probability: 26.1%
• Wizards +8.5 spread: 54.0% cover probability
• Under 237.5 points: 52.8% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Raptors vs. Wizards odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Raptors moneyline: 74¢ (Novig)
• Wizards moneyline: 26¢ (Novig)
• Raptors -8.5: 50¢ (Novig)
• Wizards +8.5: 50¢ (Novig)
• Over 237.5 points: 49¢ (Novig)
• Under 237.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Wizards +8.5 (50¢)

The Raptors may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Wizards to cover the +8.5 spread at 50¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Wizards have a 50.0% chance of covering the spread, while our model puts that probability at 54.0%.

That's a 4.0% edge in the Wizards' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Raptors vs. Wizards player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Kawhi Leonard leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Raptors star also expected to add 6.7 rebounds and 4.2 assists. The Raptors have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Wizards' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Kawhi Leonard (Raptors): 28.7 points
• Trae Young (Wizards): 23.2
• Anthony Davis (Wizards): 21.4
• Scottie Barnes (Raptors): 19.4
• RJ Barrett (Raptors): 18.6

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Raptors vs. Wizards predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Friday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Raptors vs. Wizards predictions.

Raptors vs. Wizards game details

• Matchup: Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

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