Knicks vs. Celtics prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 23, 2026

The Boston Celtics are favored to beat the New York Knicks on Friday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Knicks vs. Celtics prediction gives Boston a 60.0% chance of winning at TD Garden, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Celtics to win.

Knicks vs. Celtics: Key predictions

• Predicted score: Celtics 113-110 Knicks
• Celtics win probability: 60.0%
• Knicks win probability: 40.0%
• Celtics -2.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
• Over 221.5 points: 52.3% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model uses machine learning to predict each team's score, accounting for player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage. These scores inform our NBA predictions, including win, spread, and total probabilities, which we compare with available odds to identify betting value.

Knicks vs. Celtics odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets monitored by Dimers.

• Knicks moneyline: 45¢ (Novig)
• Celtics moneyline: 55¢ (Novig)
• Knicks +2.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Celtics -2.5: 49¢ (Novig)
• Over 221.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 221.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Celtics moneyline (55¢)

With Boston favored to beat New York, Dimers' top value bet is the Celtics moneyline at 55¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Celtics have a 55.0% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 60.0%.

That's a 5.0% edge in the Celtics' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Knicks vs. Celtics player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Jalen Brunson leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Knicks star also expected to add 6.3 assists and 3.1 rebounds. The Knicks have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Celtics' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 24.6 points
• Jayson Tatum (Celtics): 22.8
• Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks): 17.9
• Paul George (Celtics): 16.2
• OG Anunoby (Knicks): 15.9

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Knicks vs. Celtics predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Friday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

See our full range of Knicks vs. Celtics predictions.

Knicks vs. Celtics game details

• Matchup: New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.