Brewers vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Padres MLB game on Wednesday, August 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Dustin May 6-7, 4.30 ERA
3
4
Petco Park
Padres
Robbie Ray 10-7, 3.24 ERA
Petco Park
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 RHE
Brewers
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 5 1
Padres
1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 4 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Luis Campusano singles to right field. Sung-Mun Song scores.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Chourio LF5000002.0000.167
2 B. Turang 2B5011013.2000.533
3 L. Lara RF1000001.0000.000
4 J. Bauers 1B4010010.2500.650
5 J. Bae DH0100000.0000.000
6 G. Sánchez C4122112.5002.100
7 G. Mitchell CF2000011.0000.333
8 D. Hamilton SS4000011.0000.200
9 J. Ortiz 3B3110021.3330.933
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Rengifo LF4010010.2500.650
2 J. Cronenworth 2B4111012.2500.650
3 M. Machado 3B5000000.0000.000
4 S. Song PR0100000.0000.000
5 J. Merrill CF4011001.2500.700
6 L. Campusano C2011000.5001.000
7 J. Bowen DH1000000.0000.000
8 X. Bogaerts SS4111100.2501.250
9 F. Tatis RF0100010.0001.000

Brewers vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +150), Padres (+1.5, -155)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -108, Padres +112
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-117/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 49.9%
  • Padres: 50.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 49.9%, while the Padres have a win probability of 50.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Brewers in the MLB game at Petco Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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