MLB postseason player props today: Monday's best props include Freddy Peralta [10/5/2026]

Freddy Peralta over 4.5 strikeouts (-140)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Rays' Freddy Peralta over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 63.2% gives this play an edge of 4.9% at -140 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs (+105)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Freddy Peralta’s earned runs prop shows a 58.6% probability and an 9.9% edge at +105 odds, according to our model.

Freddy Peralta over 13.5 outs recorded (-105)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Freddy Peralta over 13.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 57.7% probability and a 6.5% edge at -105.

Freddy Peralta over 3.5 hits allowed (+101)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Freddy Peralta over 3.5 hits allowed, with a 57.1% probability and an edge of 7.4% at +101 odds.

Richie Palacios over 0.5 bases (+110)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Richie Palacios over 0.5 bases for Rays, showing an edge of 4.8% at +110 odds.

Richie Palacios to get a hit (+115)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Richie Palacios’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 6.0% at +115 odds, supported by a 52.5% probability according to our model.

Taylor Walls over 0.5 bases (+105)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Taylor Walls over 0.5 bases for Rays, with a 50.9% probability and a 2.2% edge at +105 odds.

Taylor Walls to get a hit (+110)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Taylor Walls to get a hit, supported by a 50.9% probability at +110 odds and an edge of 3.3%.

Ryan McMahon to get a hit (+137)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 47.4%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

A 5.2% edge on the to get a hit line makes Ryan McMahon a value play in Yankees vs. Rays, supported by a 47.4% probability at +137 odds.

Junior Caminero over 1.5 bases (+140)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Game: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Junior Caminero over 1.5 bases here, with a 44.9% probability and 3.2% edge at +140 odds.

MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Monday, October 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 5, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Freddy Peralta, Richie Palacios and Taylor Walls. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.