Dodgers vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Tuesday's Game 3 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.7% win probability for the Braves at Truist Park.

The Atlanta Braves will face the Los Angeles Dodgers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Truist Park on Tuesday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Chris Sale (0-0, 3.52 ERA) will start on the mound for the Braves, while the Dodgers will counter with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 51.7% win probability over the Dodgers.
This article offers a complete Dodgers vs. Braves prediction, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Chris Sale's pitching projections or Yoshinobu Yamamoto's predicted stats.
Dodgers vs. Braves prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Braves a 51.7% chance of defeating the Dodgers in Game 3 of the series. According to our model, the Braves (+1.5) have a 65.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 55.6% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+174) / Braves +1.5 (-178)
- Moneyline: Dodgers -104, Braves +100
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+113/-113)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Braves +1.5 @ 64¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Braves @ 50¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 6.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Tuesday's MLB Game 3 between the Braves and Dodgers at Truist Park is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 51.7% win probability, will likely beat the Dodgers in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



