News

Red Sox vs. Yankees Predictions: Bet365 Aaron Judge HR Prop for Game 1

Updated: Sep 30, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
Pat Sharyon
Written by Pat Sharyon, Special Correspondent
Reviewed by Damien Souness
Red Sox vs. Yankees Game 1 Preview and Bet365 Judge HR Prop.

The 2025 MLB postseason begins with a classic rivalry clash as the Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees for Game 1 of their playoff series at Yankee Stadium. With two aces on the mound and October tension in the air, Bet365 is spotlighting Aaron Judge with a home run prop that could define the series opener.

Bet365
Sports Promo
4.8/5
Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose
Bonus
Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you will receive $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose when you bet $5! Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER or Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA.

Bet365 is offering +230 odds on Aaron Judge to hit a home run in tonight’s matchup against Boston.

  • Judge has been one of the league’s most dangerous power hitters all season.
  • Dimers’ predictive model gives him a strong probability of leaving the yard against Garrett Crochet.
  • In a high-stakes rivalry game, backing Judge’s long-ball power offers value at these odds.

Note: Odds in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Game Details: Red Sox Vs. Yankees

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
  • Date: Tuesday, September 30, 2025
  • Time: 6:08 p.m. ET
  • Location: Yankee Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers: Red Sox – Garrett Crochet (0-0, 0.00 ERA) | Yankees – Max Fried (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
  • Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 (-194) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox +120 | Yankees -138
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-120/+102)

Expert Prediction: Red Sox Vs. Yankees

According to Dimers’ data-driven model, the Yankees hold a 56% chance of winning Game 1 at home.

Boston, however, has a 64% chance of covering the +1.5 run line, and the model also projects the over 6.5 runs (65% probability) as the stronger total play.

Red Sox Vs. Yankees Best Bet

The best value play for tonight’s playoff opener is Over 6.5 runs (-120). Both offenses are capable of breaking through despite strong starting pitching, and the bullpen factor could tilt the total upward.

Final Thoughts

With postseason stakes amplified, Bet365’s Aaron Judge HR prop (+230) brings extra intrigue to Game 1 at Yankee Stadium. Judge has delivered in October before, and his bat could once again be the difference-maker under the lights in the Bronx.

*This Referral Code is used for marketing/tracking purposes only. $10 minimum deposit. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. Available in app only. Max. prize, game restrictions, time limits and T&Cs apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA*

Advertiser disclosure
Read Also
MLB Playoffs Game 2 Predictions: Red Sox vs. Yankees and Bet365 Jarren Duran Boost
The Red Sox can punch their ticket to the next round tonight ...
Lions vs. Ravens MNF Predictions: Bet365 Anytime TD Prop on Mark Andrews
Week 3’s Monday Night Football showdown features the Baltimore Ravens hosting the ...
Stake.us Promo
Bills vs. Dolphins TNF Week 3: Bet365 Josh Allen Prop, Predictions and Best Bets
Week 3 of the NFL season opens with a primetime divisional clash ...
Notre Dame vs. Purdue Predictions: Odds, Bet365 Jadarian Price Prop and Best Bets
Week 4 of the college football season brings an in-state showdown as ...
Sunday Night Baseball Betting Strategy: Turn $5 into $200+ with Bet365 Bonus Code "DIMERS" for Red Sox vs. Yankees
Sunday, August 24, 2025, brings value for new bettors at Bet365, with ...
Top Betting Sites
Top Betting Bonuses
DraftKings
DraftKings
DraftKings Review
4.8/5
Bet365
Bet365
Bet365 Review
4.8/5
BetMGM
BetMGM
BetMGM Review
4.7/5
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel Sportsbook Review
4.7/5
Hard Rock Bet
Hard Rock Bet
Hard Rock Bet Review
4.7/5
Go to Sports Betting Comparison
DraftKings
DraftKings Promo
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly
T&Cs apply
4.8/5
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Min. $5 first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Plus, upon qualifying bet placement, get 1 100% Profit Boost Token, valid only for a NCAA Tournament Winner bet. Max. Bet: $10. Profit Boost Tokens are single-use and expire on 4/6/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Must select Token BEFORE placing bet. Boost only applies to winnings. Ends 4/6/26 11:59 PM ET. Terms: Promos | DraftKings Sportsbook
Bet365
Bet365 Promo
Bet $10 Get $365 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply
4.8/5
Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you will receive $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose when you bet $5! Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER or Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA.
BetMGM
BetMGM Promo
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
T&Cs apply
4.7/5
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel Sportsbook Promo
Get $300 Back in Bonus Bets Every Day For 10 Days
T&Cs apply
4.7/5
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG Help . Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit Helpline and Chat – CONNECTICUT COUNCIL (CT). Hope is here. MA Gambling Helpline or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit Home (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 21+ (18+ D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at FanDuel Sportsbook
Hard Rock Bet
Hard Rock Bet Promo
Double Your Winnings on Your First 10 Bets! $50 Max Bets
21+ | T&C apply | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
4.7/5
To be eligible, the Player must be at least 21 years old, physically located in an Eligible Jurisdiction: AZ, CO, IL, IN, MI, NJ, OH, TN, or VA, and not on any exclusionary lists in any Eligible Jurisdiction. Excluded patrons are prohibited from participating in Promotions. To be eligible all personal and contact data associated to your account must be verifiable. GAMBLING PROBLEM Arizona Customers: Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or Text NEXTSTEP to 53342. Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia Customers: Call 1-800-GAMBLER Indiana Customers: Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT Tennessee Customers: Call or text the Tennessee REDLINE: 1-800-889-9789
Go to Sports Betting Bonus Comparison
Top Sports Betting Pages:
Dimers Recommends
Real Prize - Sign Up Now Sign Up Now
Our Team
Damien SounessDave GarofoloPat SharyonMac DouglassRyan Leaver
+4
Damien Souness
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer
Dave Garofolo
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer
Pat Sharyon
Pat Sharyon
Special Correspondent
Mac Douglass
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor
Ryan Leaver
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor
Jason Bevilacqua
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities
Anthony George
Anthony George
Affiliate Manager
Nick Slade
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer
DEL Anthony DEL George
DEL Anthony DEL George
Affiliate Manager
Our Top Betting Pages
Our Betting Picks
Dimers.com Predictions
Best Odds
News by Sport
Colorado Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS provides $150 in Bonus Bets for Nuggets vs....
As of Monday, March 9, 2026, Bet365’s nationwide ...
Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS unlocks $150 in Bonus Bets for UNC vs. Duke tonight
As of Saturday, March 7, 2026, Bet365’s nationwide ...
NBA Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS provides $150 in Bonus Bets in AZ and CO
As of Friday, March 6, 2026, Bet365’s nationwide ...
Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS provides $150 in Bonus Bets for Arnold Palmer Invita...
As of Thursday, March 5, 2026, Bet365 Sportsbook ...
Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS unlocks $150 in NJ and PA for NBA on Wednesday
As of Wednesday, March 4, 2026, Bet365’s nationwide ...
Important information about Dimers
How we make money from featured partners:
Dimers earns a commission when you sign up with sportsbooks through our links, helping us deliver expert analysis and tools as part of our service.
Read How We Make Money
How we review sportsbooks:
Our reviews combine hands-on testing, expert insights and user feedback to give you the full picture of each sportsbook.
Read how Dimers' Ratings work
Learn Sports Betting 101
Discover the basics, strategies and tips to help you bet smarter and enjoy the game more.
Learn about Sports Betting 101
Learn About Betting in your State
Stay informed about the laws, sportsbooks and best offers available where you live.
About Us Contact Us Authors Privacy Policy Terms of Service Sitemap Gambling Responsibly Editorial Guidelines Our Data

Disclaimer: All of the information on this site is for entertainment purposes only. We do NOT accept bets of any kind. The information we provide is accurate and trustworthy to help you make better decisions. When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as an online sportsbook), we may earn referral fees. Dimers does not endorse or encourage illegal or irresponsible gambling in any form. Before placing any wagers with any betting site, you must check the online gambling regulations in your jurisdiction or state, as they do vary. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Copyright © [yyyy] Dimers. All Rights Reserved. Proudly part of Cipher Sports Technology Group, 902A Broadway, Floors 6 & 7, New York, NY 10010, United States of America.

21+
1-800-GAMBLER: Help for Problem Gambling
National Council on Problem Gambling
Sign up to get the latest sports betting picks and offers sent to your inbox.
Sign Me Up
You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.
DraftKings
Claim Bonus
GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/PR/WY). Void in NH/OR/ONT/PR. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Min. $5 first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Plus, upon qualifying bet placement, get 1 100% Profit Boost Token, valid only for a NCAA Tournament Winner bet. Max. Bet: $10. Profit Boost Tokens are single-use and expire on 4/6/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Must select Token BEFORE placing bet. Boost only applies to winnings. Ends 4/6/26 11:59 PM ET. Terms: Promos | DraftKings Sportsbook
Bet365
Claim Bonus
Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you will receive $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose when you bet $5! Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER or Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ KY). Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA (select parishes)/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA.
BetMGM
Claim Bonus
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA) 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in DC, Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.
FanDuel Sportsbook
Claim Bonus
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG Help . Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit Helpline and Chat – CONNECTICUT COUNCIL (CT). Hope is here. MA Gambling Helpline or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit Home (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 21+ (18+ D.C., KY, WY) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at FanDuel Sportsbook
Hard Rock Bet
Claim Bonus
To be eligible, the Player must be at least 21 years old, physically located in an Eligible Jurisdiction: AZ, CO, IL, IN, MI, NJ, OH, TN, or VA, and not on any exclusionary lists in any Eligible Jurisdiction. Excluded patrons are prohibited from participating in Promotions. To be eligible all personal and contact data associated to your account must be verifiable. GAMBLING PROBLEM Arizona Customers: Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or Text NEXTSTEP to 53342. Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia Customers: Call 1-800-GAMBLER Indiana Customers: Call 1-800-9-WITH-IT Tennessee Customers: Call or text the Tennessee REDLINE: 1-800-889-9789
Fanatics
Claim Bonus
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-522-4700, Home (MD), (800)-327-5050 or MA Gambling Helpline (MA), Call (877)8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), or Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), (888) 789-7777 or CONNECTICUT COUNCIL – ON PROBLEM GAMBLING (CT), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), If gambling is more than a game, free help is available . . . - NCDHHS Problem Gambling (NC). New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Must opt-in and wager $10+ cash on any market with odds of -500 or longer to receive $100 in FanCash each day for your first 3 days (issued when qualifying wager settles). Your 3 days begin the day you establish your account. FanCash rewards expire at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, including FanCash terms, apply - see Fanatics Sportsbook app.